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Saulo Costa's Lesson: Why You're Losing to Probe Bets in Poker
StrategyNovember 2, 2024·1 min read

Saulo Costa's Lesson: Why You're Losing to Probe Bets in Poker


Poker player Saulo Costa has returned from an extended vacation and posted a new video focusing on a critical aspect of the game: playing against probe bets on the turn. In his video, Saulo Costa discusses a hand where he folded to a probe bet on the turn, highlighting a common mistake many players make.

Saulo Costa points out that top high-stakes players often fold too frequently to probe bets on the turn. This is backed by research showing that even the best players deviate from optimal strategies, folding more than they should. This deviation can lead to significant losses if not addressed.

Saulo Costa explains that the mathematics of playing against probe bets on the turn is more complex than on the river. He advises players to understand their opponent's tendencies to make better decisions. By analyzing how often opponents check on the river after betting on the turn, players can adjust their strategy to either overfold or overcall, depending on the situation.

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Argus Riven

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Argus Riven

I've spent years at the tables — cash and tournaments — and just as long shaping poker copy behind the scenes: room reviews, bonus fine print, tournament notes. At PokerInsider I write the way I wish more sites would: clear structure, honest trade-offs, no hype. Whether you're new or already grinding, I care about what the offer actually costs you — rake, variance, and the fine print — and I treat responsible play as part of the job, not a footnote.

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