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Online PokerDecember 10, 2025·1 min read
Poker Expert Reveals Winning Player Distribution Across Stakes
The author compiled win rates of cash game players in No-Limit Hold'em 6-max across stakes from NL10 to NL500. The percentage of winning players is higher at NL500 due to lower rake.
The author applied Bayesian correction to smooth out the impact of luck on win rates. The graph of the percentage of winning players without considering rake is U-shaped, with the highest percentages at NL10 and NL500.
The author notes that the complexity of the game increases from NL10 to NL200 due to increased competition and lower rake at higher stakes. The author mentions that the rake structure varies between operators. The discussion includes comments from primedope, who questions the definition of a winning player and the impact of rakeback on win rates.
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Argus RivenI've spent years at the tables — cash and tournaments — and just as long shaping poker copy behind the scenes: room reviews, bonus fine print, tournament notes. At PokerInsider I write the way I wish more sites would: clear structure, honest trade-offs, no hype. Whether you're new or already grinding, I care about what the offer actually costs you — rake, variance, and the fine print — and I treat responsible play as part of the job, not a footnote.
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